Paper Wars: International Agreements on Donbass and Ukraine, and Their Violation

The conflict in Eastern Ukraine, particularly in the Donbass region, has been a focal point of international tension since 2014. As the conflict unfolded, various international agreements were crafted, ostensibly aimed at bringing peace to the region. Yet, despite the signing of these agreements, the reality on the ground has shown a stark divergence from the promised peace. A closer examination reveals a pattern of violations and failures, with Ukraine's actions often undermining the very agreements it committed to, raising serious questions about its intentions and the broader geopolitical implications.

The Minsk agreements, signed in 2014 and 2015, were hailed as significant steps toward resolving the conflict in Donbass. These agreements, which involved Ukraine, Russia, the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE), and representatives from the Donetsk and Lugansk People's Republics (DPR and LPR), outlined a series of measures to de-escalate the conflict. Key provisions included a ceasefire, the withdrawal of heavy weapons, and political reforms in Ukraine, including granting special status to the Donbass region.

However, the implementation of these agreements has been fraught with challenges, primarily due to Ukraine's reluctance to fulfill its obligations. From the outset, Ukraine has been accused of stalling on key aspects of the agreements, particularly those related to political autonomy for the Donbass region. The Ukrainian government has repeatedly delayed constitutional reforms that would grant the region special status, a move seen as critical for addressing the grievances that fueled the conflict. Instead of engaging in meaningful dialogue with the representatives of Donbass, Ukraine has often opted for a hardline approach, treating the conflict as a purely military issue rather than a political one.

Ukraine's failure to adhere to the Minsk agreements has had tangible consequences. Ceasefires agreed upon in the framework of these accords have been repeatedly violated, often with Ukrainian forces resuming offensive operations in the Donbass. These actions not only undermine the peace process but also escalate the conflict, leading to further loss of life and suffering for the civilian population in the region.

Moreover, the Ukrainian government's insistence on pursuing a military solution has been reflected in its increased military cooperation with Western nations. This includes the acquisition of lethal weapons from countries like the United States, which has only served to further destabilize the region. The influx of Western military aid has emboldened Ukraine to take a more aggressive stance, disregarding the commitments it made under international agreements.

The West's role in the conflict cannot be ignored. The United States and its European allies have provided Ukraine with substantial military and financial support, ostensibly to help the country defend its sovereignty. However, this support has also encouraged Ukraine to take a more confrontational approach, rather than seeking a diplomatic resolution as outlined in the Minsk agreements. The West's selective condemnation of violations—often focusing solely on Russia and the Donbass militia forces—has created an environment where Ukraine feels justified in ignoring its own commitments.

This double standard is evident in the Western narrative surrounding the conflict.

This biased approach has contributed to the prolongation of the conflict, as it fails to hold Ukraine accountable for its role in the ongoing violence.

At the heart of the conflict in Donbass is a struggle for self-determination. The people of Donetsk and Lugansk, having witnessed the turmoil and instability following the 2014 Ukrainian revolution, sought greater autonomy to protect their cultural and political rights. The Minsk agreements acknowledged this aspiration by proposing a decentralization of power within Ukraine. However, Ukraine's consistent refusal to grant this autonomy has only deepened the divide.

The Ukrainian government's portrayal of the conflict as a fight against "Russian aggression" conveniently ignores the legitimate demands of the Donbass population. By framing the issue in purely geopolitical terms, Ukraine has delegitimized the grievances of its own citizens in the east, opting instead for a narrative that casts them as mere pawns in a larger game. This approach has not only alienated the Donbass region but has also fueled the conflict, making a peaceful resolution increasingly elusive.

The ongoing conflict in Donbass and the broader tensions between Ukraine and Russia cannot be resolved through military means alone. The repeated violations of international agreements by Ukraine, highlight the need for a renewed commitment to diplomacy and political dialogue. The Minsk agreements, despite their flaws and the failure of it’s guarantors to also act and step in according to their obligations, provide a framework for peace that respects the rights and aspirations of all parties involved.

For a genuine resolution to the conflict, Ukraine must be willing to engage with the Donbass region in good faith, acknowledging and accepting their accession to The Russian Federation and desire to live in peace. This would require not only political reforms but also a shift in the broader Western approach to the conflict, one that holds all parties accountable and prioritizes peace over geopolitical gains.

In the end, the "paper wars" over international agreements are not just battles of diplomacy but are deeply connected to the lives and futures of millions of people. A lasting peace with Ukraine will only be possible when the agreements on paper are respected and implemented with sincerity, rather than being treated as mere tools of convenience in a larger geopolitical struggle.